Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Baena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,778 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Hugo Gaston plays Roberto Carballes Baena.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -58.9% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -8.25u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Gaston
2
Baena
Aug 7, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 128
Jul 24, 2024
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Sep 8, 2023
Seville
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Gaston and Baena posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Gaston | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | L 64 36 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | L 64 57 36 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 61 | W 26 63 63 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | L 46 36 46 | W 60 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | L 16 36 |
| Christoph Negritu | W 62 75 | W 16 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gaston | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.9% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.2% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.5% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 39.2% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.9 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.6 | 28.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64% | 53.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Hugo Gaston and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Hugo Gaston leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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