ATP 250 · Finals · Metz
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Hubert Hurkacz here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Hurkacz
3
Busta
Aug 14, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Finals
Sep 26, 2021
Metz
H Hard · Finals
Aug 19, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 11, 2015
Szczecin
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Hurkacz's 0%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | W 46 76 62 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | W 63 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 46 | W 64 26 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Hurkacz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.3% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 8.3 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.4% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.1% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 40.3% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 32.5% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.3 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.7% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Finals at Metz on Hard.
Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Hubert Hurkacz is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Altmaier (Jun 17).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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