Grand Slam · Round of 16 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Grigor Dimitrov plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -65.6% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.59u | -0.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
2
Dimitrov
4
Minaur
Apr 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 17, 2024
Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 17, 2023
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 10, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 21, 2020
Antwerp
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 2, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Dimitrov and Minaur posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 67 67 | W 76 75 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 76 | W 76 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 57 26 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | W 63 75 22 | L 57 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 46 75 75 | W 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Dimitrov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.7% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.7% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.3% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.1% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 50.2% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.2% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Grigor Dimitrov and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 16 at US Open on Hard.
Grigor Dimitrov leads 2-4 over 6 previous meetings.
Grigor Dimitrov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Conor Gannon (Jun 17).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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