ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Bucaramanga
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 2,523 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gastao Elias here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -66.3% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Elias
2
Baena
Sep 4, 2024
Seville
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 7, 2018
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 10, 2015
Meknes
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2015
Bucaramanga
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Elias's 50%).
| Opponent | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 26 36 | W 61 36 62 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 64 46 63 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.4% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.6% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 58.3% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.7% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 38% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23 | 28.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 100% | 53.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Gastao Elias and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 16 at Bucaramanga on Clay.
Gastao Elias leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Gastao Elias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (May 4).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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