Gastao Elias vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇹Gastao Elias
#1141 · 35 yrs · R
22w4 meetings · sets 4–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wGastao Elias and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Bucaramanga in 2015 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Elias has taken 4 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Seville Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elias | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gastao Elias | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 11/12 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 4/21 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 9/13 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elias 2, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Gastao Elias and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
Seville Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2018
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 10, 2015
Meknes
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2015
Bucaramanga
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Elias's 0%).
| Opponent | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 26 36 | W 61 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Pereira
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Joao Domingues
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Carles Rojas
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
John Echeverria
M25 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · Round of 32
Apr 29
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Joel Schwaerzler
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 13
Lui Maxted
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–46 matches
| Metric | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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