Gastao Elias vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇹Gastao Elias
#1130 · 35 yrs · R
16w4 meetings · sets 4–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wGastao Elias and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Bucaramanga in 2015 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Elias has taken 4 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Seville Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elias | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gastao Elias | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 11/12 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 4/21 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 9/13 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elias 2, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Gastao Elias and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
Seville Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2018
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 10, 2015
Meknes
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2015
Bucaramanga
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.74 |
| ROI % | - | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Elias's 0%).
| Opponent | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 26 36 | W 61 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Domingues
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Carles Rojas
M25 Loulé · Round of 32
May 6
Carles Rojas
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
John Echeverria
M25 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · Round of 32
Apr 29
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Joel Schwaerzler
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 13
Tiago Cacao
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · 2nd Round
Feb 19
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–47 matches
| Metric | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Elias | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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