ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,224 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luciano Darderi here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.31u | +1.79u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Cerundolo
2
Darderi
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 15, 2026
IEB+ Argentina Open
C Clay · Final
Jul 19, 2025
Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 20, 2025
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 11, 2025
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 3, 2024
Houston
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Darderi's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 64 | L 26 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | L 67 16 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 64 63 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | L 06 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | W 16 76 60 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 67 46 | L 57 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 63 | L 62 46 16 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 63 76 63 | W 76 36 61 |
| Mariano Navone | W 63 64 | W 63 36 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 58.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 41.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.5% | 30.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.6% | 40.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.3 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.3 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 60.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 59% |
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Zachary Svajda
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Francisco Comesana
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Sebastian Ofner
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 15
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Match summary
Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi meet in the Round of 32 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 26, a clay court tournament where both men rank inside the top 25. Cerundolo holds the 20th ranking while Darderi sits at 22. The two have played five times, with Cerundolo leading the head-to-head 3-2.
Cerundolo has won 6 of his last 10 matches and carries a one-match winning streak into Madrid after playing four times in 14 days. Darderi's form has been more uneven, winning only 4 of his last 10 despite a current streak of one. On clay, Darderi's sample record is stronger at 15-5 (75%), compared to Cerundolo's 13-7 (65%).
Cerundolo plays aggressive baseline tennis built on heavy hitting and sustained pressure, a style that has produced wins over Nicolas Jarry, Vit Kopriva, and Miomir Kecmanovic in recent outings. Darderi operates as a steady retriever who constructs points methodically, though recent losses to those same opponents suggest his grind can be breached by relentless attackers. The match turns on whether Darderi's clay comfort and consistency can neutralize Cerundolo's pace, or whether Cerundolo's aggressive pace proves too much to manage over three sets.
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