ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Bastad
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,224 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Casper Ruud here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.31u | +0.91u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
4
Cerundolo
3
Ruud
May 2, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 25, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 1, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
May 17, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 13, 2022
Bastad
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 1, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 40%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | W 63 75 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 63 64 36 | W 61 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 63 64 | L 57 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 16 | L 46 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 61 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 67 46 | W 63 61 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 46 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 75 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Jaume Munar | L 63 57 46 | W 60 61 |
| Nuno Borges | L 64 36 67 06 | W 75 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cerundolo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66% | 67.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 46% |
| Aces / Match | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 51.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.5% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41.6% | 42.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.3 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.3 | 21.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Zachary Svajda
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Matchup overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Casper Ruud face off in the Round of 16 at Bastad on Clay.
Francisco Cerundolo leads 4-3 over 7 previous meetings.
Francisco Cerundolo is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Brandon Nakashima (Jun 18).
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 31).
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