WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +55.6% | -5.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.34u | -0.99u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Mertens
1
Pegula
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 7, 2021
Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 24, 2020
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mertens's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 67 | W |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 62 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 67 67 | W 36 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 36 | L 62 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | W 63 76 |
| Donna Vekic | W 63 63 | W 46 62 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | W 63 67 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | W 67 62 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 61 76 | W 62 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | W 60 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mertens | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 63.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.6% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 65.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.8% | 40.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 53.4% |
| BP Converted % | 45.5% | 39.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 53.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula face off in the Quarterfinals at Cincinnati on Hard.
Elise Mertens leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Linda Noskova (Jun 21).
Share this match
