WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,186 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +55.6% | +71.2% |
| Units P/L | +8.34u | +13.52u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
1
Mertens
7
Rybakina
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 16, 2021
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 29, 2021
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2020
Shenzhen
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mertens's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 62 61 | L |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L | W 46 63 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 61 76 | L |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 75 61 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | W 60 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | W 75 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 63 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 60.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.6% | 72.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 39.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.8% | 38.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 56.2% |
| BP Converted % | 45.5% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 55.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 58% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Elise Mertens leads 1-7 over 8 previous meetings.
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Share this match
