Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,186 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | +55.6% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | +8.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
7
Rybakina
1
Mertens
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 16, 2021
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 29, 2021
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2020
Shenzhen
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mertens's 40%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L | W 62 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | W | W 75 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 61 76 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 60 62 | L 57 62 67 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 36 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 46 76 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | L 63 67 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 61 36 06 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39.2% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 39.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.2% | 54.6% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 45.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.2% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Elena Rybakina leads 7-1 over 8 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
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