WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Ekaterina Alexandrova plays Daria Kasatkina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.00u | -5.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Alexandrova
3
Kasatkina
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 3, 2022
Ostrava
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 13, 2022
Berlin
G Grass · Round of 16
Feb 10, 2020
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 30, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Alexandrova and Kasatkina posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | W 64 64 |
| Ann Li | L 64 46 36 | L 76 26 46 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 36 64 67 | L 67 63 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 62 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 61 67 57 | L 75 16 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 67 63 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 64 62 | L 67 26 |
| Lulu Sun | W 64 62 | L 57 62 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alexandrova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 52.5% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.1% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.4% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.6 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.4% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.6% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 31.1% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.3% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 14% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Camila Osorio (May 25).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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