Grand Slam · Round of 64 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Shapovalov
1
Baena
Sep 1, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 2, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 30, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 26 26 67 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 60 36 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 67 63 57 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 26 46 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 64 at US Open on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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