WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,124 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tatjana Maria here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 3.01 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -4.7% |
| Units P/L | -6.11u | -1.23u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kasatkina
0
Maria
May 6, 2024
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Maria's 57%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 46 75 | W |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 57 06 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 63 36 67 | L 36 06 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | L 57 76 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 57.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 44% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 51.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 59% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Tatjana Maria face off in the Round of 64 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mccartney Kessler (Jun 22).
Tatjana Maria is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tereza Valentova (Jun 25).
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