WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kessler
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 901 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mccartney Kessler here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | -6.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | -0.90u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kasatkina
0
Kessler
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kessler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasatkina's 56%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 64 | L 67 06 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 16 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 60 36 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 76 61 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 64 63 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | L 36 61 46 | W 63 57 64 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 62 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 75 63 | W 63 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 63 36 67 | L 75 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 65.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 62% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 43.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 1.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 3.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 50.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 38.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 54.4% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 60.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 50% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Mccartney Kessler face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Mccartney Kessler is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Katie Volynets (Jun 16).
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