WTA 250 · Round of 16 · Melbourne 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 8–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | -30.7% | +138.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.07u | +12.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 12 career meetings
2
Kasatkina
10
Keys
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 26, 2023
Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Apr 3, 2023
Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 10, 2022
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 3, 2022
Melbourne 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 20, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Sep 16, 2019
Osaka
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 29, 2018
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 14, 2017
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kasatkina's 44%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 36 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 46 64 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 36 61 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 61 | W 60 63 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 36 06 | L 62 26 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 62 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 64.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 72.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 44.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 54% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 38.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 55.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 50.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 16 at Melbourne 2 on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 2-10 over 12 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Robin Montgomery (Jun 8).
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 1).
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