WTA 500 · Round of 32 · San Jose
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daria Kasatkina plays Elena Rybakina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | +71.2% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | +13.52u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Kasatkina
3
Rybakina
Feb 5, 2024
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Final
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2022
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 19, 2020
Ostrava
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 46 36 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 64 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 75 46 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 64 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 67 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 61 | W 46 63 75 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 63 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 61 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | W 75 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 60.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 72.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 39.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 38.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 56.2% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 55.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 32 at San Jose on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
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