WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,103 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Kasatkina
2
Pavlyuchenkova
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 12, 2024
Doha
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 24, 2023
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Feb 13, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 15, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 16, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 19, 2015
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlyuchenkova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 26 16 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 36 06 | W 76 64 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 06 64 36 | W 36 64 64 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 46 75 | W 62 26 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 57.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 50% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 24.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 61.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 16.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 42.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Daria Kasatkina leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Apr 21).
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