ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · BNP Paribas Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Baez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,316 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -24.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -4.15u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Medvedev
0
Baez
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 12/19 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baez's 38%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 16 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 62 63 | W 75 75 |
| Adam Walton | W 75 76 | L 26 26 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | L 26 26 12 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 76 61 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 75 60 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 36 75 61 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.4% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 45.9% |
| Aces / Match | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.3% | 55.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 48.8% |
| BP Converted % | 37.6% | 49.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 14.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.2% | 55.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.4% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 72% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Rei Sakamoto
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Jannik Sinner
BNP Paribas Open · Final
Mar 15
Carlos Alcaraz
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Tomas Machac
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Stan Wawrinka
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Titouan Droguet
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 3
Vilius Gaubas
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 32
Mar 31
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at BNP Paribas Open on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Berrettini (Apr 8).
Sebastian Baez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tomas Machac (Apr 14).
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