Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2023; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,638 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | -4.50u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | L 26 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 67 | L 16 26 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 63 76 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | W 36 62 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 16 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 62 63 | W 75 75 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | L 26 26 12 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 76 61 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Terence Atmane
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Thijs Boogaard
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–67 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 46% |
| Sets won | 64% | 45% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
