Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Medvedev
0
Baena
Mar 9, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 25, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | L 36 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 46 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | L 46 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | L 67 57 64 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 26 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.4% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.4% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.9% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.1% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 36.5% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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