ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Moscow
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Medvedev
2
Busta
Aug 20, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 22, 2021
Mallorca
G Grass · Semifinals
Oct 30, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 12, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 62 36 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 57 75 75 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 26 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | W 46 76 62 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | L 64 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Moscow on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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