ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Steve Carter Baton Rouge Challenger
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Milavsky
👑 The Complete Package
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,189 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Milavsky | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -35.1% | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Milavsky
1
Smith
Feb 10, 2026
Steve Carter Baton Rouge Challenger
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 5, 2026
M25 Winston-Salem NC
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Milavsky's 30%).
| Opponent | Milavsky | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Langmo | W 46 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Colton Smith | L 36 26 | L 67 16 |
| Philip Sekulic | L 67 46 | W 62 75 |
| Gianluca Brunkow | L 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Jakub Paul | L 46 67 | W 63 75 |
| Raphael Perot | W 75 16 61 | W 63 76 |
| Joshua Sheehy | L 67 76 67 | W 63 63 |
| Kaylan Bigun | W 64 63 | W 64 75 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
| Andrew Fenty | L 75 36 46 | L 64 67 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Milavsky | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 71.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 77.6% | 73.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.7% | 57% |
| Aces / Match | 6.8 | 6.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.7% | 64.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 28% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58.4% | 44.2% |
| BP Converted % | 40.2% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 47.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.6% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 69% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Lucas Marionneau
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 10
Murphy Cassone
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Christian Langmo
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
William Manning
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Colton Smith
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 16
May 27
Alex Bolt
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Rio Noguchi
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Finn Bass
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Ben Jones
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Matchup overview
Daniel Milavsky and Keegan Smith face off in the Round of 32 at Steve Carter Baton Rouge Challenger on Hard.
Daniel Milavsky leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Daniel Milavsky is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lucas Marionneau (Jun 10).
Keegan Smith is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Bolt (Jun 10).
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