ATP Masters 1000 · Quarterfinals · ATP Masters 1000 Canada
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 650 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–4 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.00u | +1.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Evans
0
Paul
Jun 25, 2025
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Aug 12, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 2, 2018
Vancouver
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Evans's 50%).
| Opponent | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | W 36 64 63 | W 61 62 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 26 67 | W 46 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 64 64 | L 75 46 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 26 36 | W 46 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.8% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.6% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.3% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.9% | 48.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.7% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 65.9% | 43.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23 | 25.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.3 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.8% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Daniel Evans and Tommy Paul face off in the Quarterfinals at ATP Masters 1000 Canada on Hard.
Daniel Evans leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daniel Evans is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marcos Giron (Jun 13).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
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