WTA 250 · Round of 16 · Lexington
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Coco Gauff here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -17.1% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | -3.19u |
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
6
Gauff
7
Sabalenka
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Final
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Final
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Final
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2024
Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Final
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2022
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gauff's 40%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 26 | W |
| Anastasia Potapova | L | W 76 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 62 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W | L 62 36 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 57 75 62 | W 63 60 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 61 67 | W 63 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 36 60 63 | L 62 26 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 75 36 | W 63 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 61 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 16 46 | W 76 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gauff | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.4% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44.6% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47.3% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 45% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.2% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Round of 16 at Lexington on Hard.
Coco Gauff leads 6-7 over 13 previous meetings.
Coco Gauff is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Paula Badosa (Jun 17).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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