WTA 1000 · Final · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Gauff
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | +118.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | +2.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
7
Sabalenka
6
Gauff
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Final
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Final
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Final
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2024
Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Final
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2022
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gauff's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 64 63 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 57 75 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 46 76 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 67 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 36 60 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 46 61 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 36 75 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 75 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 16 46 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 61 60 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 67.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 66.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 40.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 51.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 43.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 46.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 53.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff face off in the Final at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 7-6 over 13 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Coco Gauff is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mirra Andreeva (May 5).
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