Other · Round Robin · Nitto ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,206 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Casper Ruud plays Carlos Alcaraz.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | +4.5% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.91u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
1
Ruud
6
Alcaraz
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 29, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Apr 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Finals
Apr 5, 2021
Marbella
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ruud's 80%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 57 67 75 26 | W 64 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 76 64 75 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | W 62 64 60 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 61 16 62 | W 67 64 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | W 64 62 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | W 62 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.3% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 42.6% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 21.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.8 | 29.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 62.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.4% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Round Robin at Nitto ATP Finals on Hard.
Casper Ruud leads 1-6 over 7 previous meetings.
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 31).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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