Other · Round Robin · Nitto ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 703 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Casper Ruud plays Carlos Alcaraz.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 20–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| ROI % | -25.2% | -5.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.77u | -1.32u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
1
Ruud
6
Alcaraz
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 29, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Apr 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Finals
Apr 5, 2021
Marbella
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 78% | 18/23 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 48% | 11/23 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/23 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ruud's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 06 16 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 46 63 | W 63 60 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | W 62 64 61 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 26 26 | L 36 75 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 75 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 76 46 26 | W 67 63 62 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 46 57 | W 67 64 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | W 76 63 46 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 75 64 | W 64 67 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ruud | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.2% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 74.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.1% | 57.3% |
| Aces / Match | 8.7 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65.7% | 59.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.4% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 38.4% | 56.9% |
| BP Converted % | 23.6% | 48.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 25.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.1% | 71.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.9% | 55.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 44% | 88% |
Last five matches per player
Corentin Moutet
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Alexei Popyrin
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Ethan Quinn
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Carlos Alcaraz
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Valentin Vacherot
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Matchup overview
Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Round Robin at Nitto ATP Finals on Hard.
Casper Ruud leads 1-6 over 7 previous meetings.
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Apr 8).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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