ATP 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 703 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Casper Ruud.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.13 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -5.7% | -25.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.32u | -2.77u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
6
Alcaraz
1
Ruud
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 29, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Apr 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Finals
Apr 5, 2021
Marbella
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 91% | 21/23 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 18/23 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 11/23 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 9% | 1/11 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ruud's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 06 16 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 36 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 64 46 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | W 75 63 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 64 26 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 63 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 76 46 26 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | L 46 57 |
| Ben Shelton | W 76 63 46 64 | L 63 46 36 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 75 | W 63 75 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.4% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.3% | 49.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 8.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.4% | 65.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 25.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.9% | 38.4% |
| BP Converted % | 48.2% | 23.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.4 | 27 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 23 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.9% | 70.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.9% | 46.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 88% | 44% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Corentin Moutet
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Alexei Popyrin
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Ethan Quinn
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Carlos Alcaraz
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Valentin Vacherot
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 6-1 over 7 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Apr 8).
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