ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Baez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 405 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Sebastian Baez.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–3 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.13 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | -8.0% | -24.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.59u | -4.15u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Alcaraz
0
Baez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | L 26 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 46 06 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | L 26 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 75 36 57 |
| Ben Shelton | W 76 63 46 64 | W 75 63 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 64 75 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jack Draper | W 64 64 | L 26 26 12 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.6% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.2% | 63.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.4% | 45.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.8% | 55.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 30.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.4% | 48.6% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 46.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.4 | 13.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 25.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.9% | 53.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.8% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 86% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Vilius Gaubas
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Tomas Machac
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Stan Wawrinka
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Titouan Droguet
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 3
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at Tokyo on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Sebastian Baez is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Vilius Gaubas (Apr 23).
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