ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Guayaquil
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,224 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luciano Darderi here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | +1.79u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Carabelli
5
Darderi
Jul 25, 2025
Umag
C Clay · Semifinals
May 16, 2024
Turin
C Clay · Round of 32
May 2, 2024
Cagliari
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 9, 2023
Lima 2
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 2, 2023
Guayaquil
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 11, 2022
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 9, 2021
Montevideo
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | L 67 64 46 62 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | L 06 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 16 | L 64 26 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | W 76 57 60 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | W 16 76 60 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 61 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 63 64 | W 76 36 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | L 64 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 58.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 41.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 30.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 40.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.5% | 60.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 59% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Francisco Comesana
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Sebastian Ofner
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 15
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luciano Darderi face off in the Round of 16 at Guayaquil on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Luciano Darderi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Comesana (May 27).
Share this match
