ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Poznan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Elias
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Camilo Ugo Carabelli here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -66.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.09u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Carabelli
1
Elias
Jun 20, 2024
Poznan
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 21, 2021
Oeiras 4
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 3, 2018
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 32
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 55.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 58.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 48% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 31.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gastao Elias face off in the Quarterfinals at Poznan on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Gastao Elias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (May 4).
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