ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cobolli
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,149 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Camilo Ugo Carabelli plays Flavio Cobolli.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 13–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.56u | +5.56u |
First career meeting
Carabelli and Cobolli have never faced each other on tour.
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 70% | 14/20 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/20 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | W 63 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 75 26 63 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 06 36 | L 67 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 57 36 |
| Luca Nardi | W 62 64 | L 26 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 75 63 | W 26 75 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | W 64 75 |
| Jaume Munar | L 46 16 57 | L 57 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 36 | W 64 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 60.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.2% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.3% | 55.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.1% | 57% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 27.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.1% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 40.9% | 42.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.9 | 20.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.4 | 25.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.6% | 72.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 52% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Gael Monfils
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Rafael Jodar
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Karen Khachanov
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rafael Jodar
Grand Prix Hassan II · Semifinals
Apr 4
Luca Van Assche
Grand Prix Hassan II · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Flavio Cobolli face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Flavio Cobolli are meeting for the first time in our records.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Gael Monfils (Apr 23).
Flavio Cobolli is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ben Shelton (Apr 19).
Model consensus currently favors Flavio Cobolli with 60.2% confidence.
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