ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,272 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gael Monfils here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.81 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -7.1% | -16.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Carabelli
0
Monfils
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Carabelli and Monfils posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 16 26 | L 46 61 64 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.8% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 6.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 48.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 48.6% |
| BP Converted % | 38.3% | 31% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.7 | 19.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.1 | 20.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.5% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 51.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
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Match summary
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils will meet in the Round of 128 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 22, 2026. The clay-court encounter will see Argentina's Carabelli, ranked 57th, face France's Monfils, currently at number 200 in the ATP standings. This marks their first career meeting on the professional tour.
Carabelli and Monfils have no previous head-to-head record to reference, so both players enter this clay-court clash without a direct history. Their common opponents provide mixed signals. Carabelli defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Sebastian Baez while losing to Jaume Munar and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina; Monfils recorded wins over Munar and Perricard alongside losses to Davidovich Fokina and Baez.
Carabelli arrives with stronger recent form, posting a 60 percent win rate over his last five matches and his last ten matches. He has played two matches in the past fourteen days and comes into Madrid off a loss seven days ago. Monfils has won just two of his last five matches and three of his last ten, with his last outing coming fifteen days before this encounter.
Carabelli operates as a counterpuncher who relies on reading opponents and returning serve with precision, while Monfils builds his game around a forceful serve and aggressive net play. On outdoor clay, Carabelli holds a 12-8 record this season for a 60 percent conversion rate. Monfils stands at 8-12 on clay courts, winning 40 percent of his matches on the surface.
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