ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Khachanov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,062 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Karen Khachanov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | -40.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | -5.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Carabelli
0
Khachanov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 26 | L 61 46 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 67 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | W 67 64 61 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 62 76 46 57 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 57 63 | W 57 64 64 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 64 67 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 16 26 | W 62 46 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | L 67 63 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | L 26 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | W 63 46 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 67.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 71.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 54.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 64.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 29.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 49.8% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 23.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.5% | 72.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Match summary
Camilo Ugo Carabelli, ranked 64th, will face Karen Khachanov, ranked 14th, in the Round of 32 at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on April 12, 2026. The match will be played on outdoor clay, a surface where both players have competed regularly this season. This is the first meeting between Carabelli and Khachanov on the professional tour.
Khachanov comes into this matchup as the higher-ranked player and enters the tournament as one of the seeded competitors. Carabelli will be looking to pull off an upset against his more experienced opponent. Neither player has faced the other before, so there is no established head-to-head history between them.
Carabelli arrives in Barcelona with solid form, posting a 60% win rate over his last five matches and 60% over his last ten. Khachanov, by contrast, has struggled recently, winning just 20% of his last five matches and 20% of his last ten, with a two-match losing streak. Carabelli is fresh off a match ten days ago and has played four times in the last two weeks, while Khachanov last played eight days ago with just one match in his last fourteen days.
On clay, Carabelli has a 60% win rate this season with a counter-punching style that relies on reading opponents and striking from defensive positions. Khachanov brings the game of a big hitter, trusting his power and aggressive shot-making, and holds a 55% win rate on clay this year. The two have faced common opponents this season with mixed results, setting up an interesting stylistic clash.
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