ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Lyon
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,830 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Cameron Norrie here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.11 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -23.9% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.63u | -4.50u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Norrie
0
Baez
Oct 27, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
May 25, 2023
Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 19, 2022
Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 38%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Machac | W 62 67 76 | L 62 46 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 75 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | L 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 46 06 |
| Emilio Nava | W 61 76 46 76 | W 46 75 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 64 36 67 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | L 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 68.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.6% | 52.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 60.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.9% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 41.7% | 54.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 23.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.4% | 58.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.6% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jannik Sinner
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Matchup overview
Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez face off in the Quarterfinals at Lyon on Clay.
Cameron Norrie leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Cameron Norrie is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 9).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
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