ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Vacherot
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,528 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Valentin Vacherot.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.67 |
| ROI % | -23.1% | +9.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | +1.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nakashima
0
Vacherot
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vacherot has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 46 76 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 57 62 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 46 | W 64 36 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 36 | W 76 75 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | W 64 64 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 67 64 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Elias Ymer | W 63 64 | W 46 63 62 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 67 | W 46 63 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 64 67 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.2% | 66.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.3% | 77.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| Aces / Match | 9.5 | 7.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.6% | 46.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.3% | 25.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 47.2% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 38.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 23.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22 | 23.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.7% | 70.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Martin Damm
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Marin Cilic
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alex de Minaur
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Hubert Hurkacz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Lorenzo Musetti
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Valentin Vacherot face off in the Quarterfinals at Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Brandon Nakashima is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Fils (Apr 16).
Valentin Vacherot is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Carlos Alcaraz (Apr 11).
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