Other · Round Robin · Intesa Sanpaolo Next Gen ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,373 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -55.7% | +9.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.01u | +1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Nakashima
1
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 67 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 16 76 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 46 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | L 36 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 64 | W 75 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | L 46 46 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 46 76 61 | L 57 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.2% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 9 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.8% | 53% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.4% | 34.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.9% | 50.7% |
| BP Converted % | 52.5% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.2 | 23.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.9% | 65% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Roberto Bautista Agut
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Alexander Blockx
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Sardegna Open · Final
May 3
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round Robin at Intesa Sanpaolo Next Gen ATP Finals on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Brandon Nakashima is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roberto Bautista Agut (May 25).
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tallon Griekspoor (May 26).
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