ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,936 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -30.8% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | -1.01u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nakashima
0
Ymer
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ymer's 33%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | L 36 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 67 | W 63 36 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.5% | 61.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 71.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.2% | 48.4% |
| Aces / Match | 6.9 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 34.5% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 25.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 52.9% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.6 | 16.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.1 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 66.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Elias Ymer face off in the Round of 32 at Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 19).
Elias Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 8).
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