ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fils
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,645 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Arthur Fils.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | -23.1% | +19.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | +4.00u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Nakashima
2
Fils
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Fils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 57% | 12/21 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 19% | 4/21 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nakashima's 33%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | W 64 67 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 26 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 63 | W 63 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 | L 26 16 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 61 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 06 | W 67 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 67 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.2% | 64.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.3% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 54.6% |
| Aces / Match | 9.5 | 5.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.6% | 56.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.3% | 26.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 36.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22 | 26.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.7% | 69.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Martin Damm
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Marin Cilic
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Final
Apr 19
Rafael Jodar
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Semifinals
Apr 18
Lorenzo Musetti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Brandon Nakashima
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Terence Atmane
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Match summary
Arthur Fils, ranked 30th, faces Brandon Nakashima, ranked 33rd, in the Round of 16 at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on clay. The match takes place on April 15, 2026. These two have met twice before, splitting their head to head record 1-1, so neither player has established clear dominance in their rivalry.
Fils arrives in strong form, winning 4 of his last 5 matches and 7 of his last 10. He's had just one match in the past two weeks and is playing with momentum. Nakashima has struggled recently, winning only 2 of his last 5 and 4 of his last 10, though he did pick up a victory in his most recent outing. Both players took the court two days ago.
On clay, Fils has excelled with a 75% win rate this season, while Nakashima sits at 50% on the surface. Fils plays an aggressive, power-based game that suits the slower court, while Nakashima relies heavily on his serve as his primary weapon. This stylistic difference often becomes more pronounced on clay, where serve dominance decreases.
Looking at shared opponents tells part of the story. Fils has defeated Frances Tiafoe, Lorenzo Musetti, Marcos Giron, and Marin Cilic this season, while Nakashima fell to all four of those players. Against Learner Tien, the results flipped. Fils enters with the better recent trajectory and stronger clay credentials.
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