ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Botic van de Zandschulp here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Zandschulp
1
Busta
Feb 21, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 2, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 128
May 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Zandschulp's 63%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 62 | W 63 76 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 02 | L 64 57 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 06 61 64 | W 57 75 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 64 36 67 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 36 67 | W 46 76 62 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 75 63 | W 62 64 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 76 63 | W 36 61 62 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 76 64 | W 64 26 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zandschulp | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.6% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.1% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.3% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.8% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.2% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 38.8% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.7 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.7 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.2% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 55% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Harry Wendelken
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Quentin Halys
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 15
Karen Khachanov
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Matchup overview
Botic van de Zandschulp and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Botic van de Zandschulp leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Botic van de Zandschulp is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tommy Paul (Jun 12).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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