WTA 500 · Round of 64 · Tokyo Olympics
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
🏹 Frontrunner
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 800 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | -5.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.69u | -0.99u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Bencic
1
Pegula
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 3, 2023
Charleston
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 30, 2021
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 24, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 8, 2015
's Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bencic's 50%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | W 62 63 | L |
| Madison Keys | L 64 36 26 | W |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 62 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 67 46 | L |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 36 | W 62 26 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 62 | W 64 60 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 16 76 36 | W 64 46 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | W 36 63 62 |
| Katie Boulter | W 60 75 | W 64 64 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 62 67 63 | W 57 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bencic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.2% | 63.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.3% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.7% | 65.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 40.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.9% | 53.4% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 39.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 53.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Belinda Bencic and Jessica Pegula face off in the Round of 64 at Tokyo Olympics on Hard.
Belinda Bencic leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Belinda Bencic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 31).
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Linda Noskova (Jun 21).
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