ATP 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
🎯 Baseliner
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aslan Karatsev here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.99 |
| ROI % | - | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Karatsev
0
Mochizuki
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Karatsev | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 59.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 82.5% | 65.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 31.6% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 11 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 75% | 28.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 50% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.5% | 52.6% |
| BP Converted % | 62.5% | 57.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 78.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 61.1% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Aslan Karatsev and Shintaro Mochizuki face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Aslan Karatsev leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Aslan Karatsev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Christian Djonov (Apr 13).
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Remy Bertola (Jun 18).
Share this match
