WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marta Kostyuk here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 15–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.42 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | +30.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | +4.89u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
5
Sabalenka
0
Kostyuk
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Feb 14, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kostyuk's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | W 36 63 76 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W | L 76 67 67 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 76 60 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 64 26 63 | W 61 64 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 60 67 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 62 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 58.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 69.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 59.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 47.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 67.9% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 60.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 58.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 90% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk face off in the Quarterfinals at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 5-0 over 5 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Marta Kostyuk is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mirra Andreeva (Jun 4).
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