WTA 500 · Berlin
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,968 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -35.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -2.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Sabalenka
3
Alexandrova
Jun 17, 2026
Berlin
G Grass ·
Feb 9, 2025
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 6, 2022
s Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Final
Oct 18, 2021
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 28, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Dec 31, 2018
Shenzhen
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W | L |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W |
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 57 63 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 63 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 57 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | L 46 76 16 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 36 64 67 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 36 76 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 16 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 52.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 42.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 50.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 28.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 31.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off in the match at Berlin on Grass.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Naomi Osaka (Jun 25).
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