WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Osorio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 5,392 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Osorio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -1.60u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Sabalenka
0
Osorio
Apr 24, 2023
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Jun 28, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Osorio's 25%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Osorio |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W | W 62 64 |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 26 57 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 46 76 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 64 26 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 46 76 63 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 76 46 76 | L 36 67 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 64 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Osorio |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 68.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 62% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 43.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 39.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 43.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 65.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 56% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 53.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Camila Osorio face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Camila Osorio is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ajla Tomljanovic (Jun 20).
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