ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Andrey Rublev plays Tommy Paul.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | +1.59u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
5
Rublev
1
Paul
Oct 11, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 14, 2022
Gijon
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 11, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 15, 2020
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paul's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 76 76 | W 76 63 57 57 75 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 63 62 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 67 64 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | L 75 46 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 61 62 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 75 62 63 | W 62 26 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 46 64 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 67 46 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 48.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 43.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 25.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Andrey Rublev leads 5-1 over 6 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
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