ATP 500 · Semifinals · Hamburg
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrey Rublev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Rublev
0
Busta
Sep 27, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 24, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
May 1, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 26, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Busta posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 76 26 46 | L 26 16 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | L 36 61 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 46 26 46 |
| Yoshihito Nishioka | L 62 16 46 | W 60 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at Hamburg on Clay.
Andrey Rublev leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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