ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Umag
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,086 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrey Rublev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.55u | -0.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Rublev
0
Carabelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 63 46 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | L 16 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 16 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | L 76 16 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 62 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 76 26 46 | L 46 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 36 67 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 62 63 | W 64 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 76 67 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.7% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 51.3% |
| Aces / Match | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.9% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.5% | 31.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 51.8% |
| BP Converted % | 47.1% | 36.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.5 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.9 | 26.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 66.6% | 70.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Miomir Kecmanovic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Vit Kopriva
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 12
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off in the Round of 16 at Umag on Clay.
Andrey Rublev leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jannik Sinner (May 13).
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (May 16).
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