ATP 250 · Semifinals · Umag
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alexei Popyrin plays Matteo Arnaldi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.77 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.58u | +8.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Popyrin
2
Arnaldi
Dec 31, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 5, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 128
Jul 29, 2023
Umag
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Popyrin's 13%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 36 | W 75 52 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 76 67 36 76 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 62 36 63 67 67 | L 16 76 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 75 36 46 | L 16 76 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 57 | L 46 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 46 36 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Popyrin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.5% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.4% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.1% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.9% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 42.7% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 35.4% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.5 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.3 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.1% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Semifinals at Umag on Clay.
Alexei Popyrin leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Alexei Popyrin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Raphael Collignon (Jun 16).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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