ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jannik Sinner plays Alexei Popyrin.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–1 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.10 | 3.37 |
| ROI % | +5.0% | -13.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.00u | -1.58u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Sinner
1
Popyrin
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 18, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 27, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Popyrin's 40%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Clement Tabur | W 61 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 46 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | W 57 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | L 76 67 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | W 63 26 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 61 62 | L 76 46 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 63 46 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | W 60 46 61 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 62 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 61.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.1% | 74.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.2% | 53.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 41% | 61.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.5% | 24.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 42.7% |
| BP Converted % | 38.2% | 35.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.9 | 22.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.6 | 22.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 95% | 45% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Match summary
Jannik Sinner, the world number one, meets Alexei Popyrin in the Round of 32 at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 6. The match takes place on outdoor clay in Rome. Popyrin, ranked 60th, has won one of his last five matches and arrives in poor form after playing just once in the past two weeks.
Sinner leads their head-to-head 2-1 and has defeated Popyrin in their last meeting. The Italian's recent trajectory is sharp: he has won 24 consecutive matches and completed six matches in fourteen days without dropping a set in his last five outings. Popyrin has lost four of his last ten and, like Sinner, faces his second consecutive match in as many days.
Sinner attacks from the baseline with heavy groundstrokes and converts opportunities with consistency; his clay record stands at 18-2 (90%). Popyrin relies on his serve as his primary weapon but has compiled a 55% win rate on clay over his recent sample. The match will ask Sinner to maintain his intensity against a player counting on first-serve points, while Popyrin must construct points methodically against one of the tour's most destructive hitters.
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