Grand Slam · Semifinals · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alexander Zverev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -0.3% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.08u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Zverev
0
Busta
Aug 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 14, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 11, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 30, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 20%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 46 62 | L 36 61 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 75 62 36 63 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 61 63 | L 64 64 16 26 26 |
| Quentin Halys | W 64 63 57 62 | L 64 57 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 76 64 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Damm | W 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 64 | L 36 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 63 36 76 | W 46 63 76 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 76 | L 46 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zverev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.4% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.9% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.2% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.7 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.5% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.7% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 46.5% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.4 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.9 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.3% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at US Open on Hard.
Alexander Zverev leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Alexander Zverev is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Vit Kopriva (Jun 16).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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